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Bo'ness United vs Civil Service Strollers — League #731 2026

Bo'ness United
Bo'ness United
Preview
14:00
Civil Service Strollers
Civil Service Strollers
8/8/2026League #731League #731 · Regular Season
49%
Bo'ness United
model favours
49%23%28%
1–1
likely score
63%
over 2.5 goals
63%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Bo'ness United49%
×Draw23%
Civil Service Strollers28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bo'ness United
1.88
Civil Service Strollers
1.38

Bo'ness United creates 36% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 4 away

creates per match

Bo'ness United
2.25
Civil Service Strollers
2.00

allows per match

Bo'ness United
0.75
Civil Service Strollers
1.50

finishing

Bo'ness United+0.00on par
Civil Service Strollers+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bo'ness United ↓

Civil Service Strollers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Bo'ness United or draw
72%
Bo'ness United or Civil Service Strollers
77%
Draw or Civil Service Strollers
51%

Winning margin

Bo'ness United wins by 2+
27%
Civil Service Strollers wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Bo'ness United 1+ goals
85%
Bo'ness United 2+ goals
56%
Bo'ness United 3+ goals
29%
Civil Service Strollers 1+ goals
75%
Civil Service Strollers 2+ goals
40%
Civil Service Strollers 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Bo'ness United (draw refunded)
63%
Civil Service Strollers (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bo'ness United at home — creates 2.25, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

Civil Service Strollers away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bo'ness United attack 2.25 + Civil Service Strollers defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.88

Civil Service Strollers attack 2.00 + Bo'ness United defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Bo'ness United scores more
49%
level
23%
Civil Service Strollers scores more
28%

Bo'ness United at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Bo'ness United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
United
LWWLD
Strollers
DLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Bo'ness United host Civil Service Strollers

August 8, 2026: Bo'ness United take on Civil Service Strollers in League #731. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.