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Blue Eagles vs Red Lions — Super League 2026

Blue Eagles
Blue Eagles
Preview
12:30
Red Lions
Red Lions
8/15/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 11
Big match
52%
Blue Eagles
model favours
52%27%21%

Red Lions win just 17% against the top half (vs 45% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
60%
under 2.5 goals
43%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 49+ matches

Blue Eagles52%
×Draw27%
Red Lions21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blue Eagles
1.46
Red Lions
0.81

Blue Eagles creates 80% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 49 away

creates per match

Blue Eagles
1.46
Red Lions
0.82

allows per match

Blue Eagles
0.81
Red Lions
1.47

finishing

Blue Eagles+0.00on par
Red Lions+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blue Eagles ↓

Red Lions →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–18%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–112%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
40%60%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Blue Eagles or draw
79%
Blue Eagles or Red Lions
73%
Draw or Red Lions
48%

Winning margin

Blue Eagles wins by 2+
26%
Red Lions wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Blue Eagles 1+ goals
77%
Blue Eagles 2+ goals
43%
Blue Eagles 3+ goals
18%
Red Lions 1+ goals
56%
Red Lions 2+ goals
19%
Red Lions 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Blue Eagles (draw refunded)
72%
Red Lions (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blue Eagles at home — creates 1.46, concedes 0.81 · 68 matches

Red Lions away — creates 0.82, concedes 1.47 · 49 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blue Eagles attack 1.46 + Red Lions defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.46

Red Lions attack 0.82 + Blue Eagles defence 0.81 → ÷2 → 0.81

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Blue Eagles scores more
52%
level
27%
Red Lions scores more
21%

Blue Eagles at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Blue Eagles will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Eagles
WLWWD
Lions
WLWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Blue Eagles face Red Lions (Super League)

Super League returns with Blue Eagles hosting Red Lions. Match starts August 15, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.