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Blue Eagles vs Mitundu Baptist — Super League 2026

Blue Eagles
Blue Eagles
Preview
12:30
Mitundu Baptist
Mitundu Baptist
11/1/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 19
61%
Blue Eagles
model favours
61%26%13%
1–0
likely score
67%
under 2.5 goals
32%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Blue Eagles61%
×Draw26%
Mitundu Baptist13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blue Eagles
1.48
Mitundu Baptist
0.53

Blue Eagles creates 179% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 4 away

creates per match

Blue Eagles
1.45
Mitundu Baptist
0.25

allows per match

Blue Eagles
0.82
Mitundu Baptist
1.50

finishing

Blue Eagles+0.00on par
Mitundu Baptist+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

68%No
  • No68
  • Yes32

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blue Eagles ↓

Mitundu Baptist →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–17%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–020%
1–111%
1–23%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–015%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Blue Eagles or draw
87%
Blue Eagles or Mitundu Baptist
74%
Draw or Mitundu Baptist
39%

Winning margin

Blue Eagles wins by 2+
32%
Mitundu Baptist wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Blue Eagles 1+ goals
77%
Blue Eagles 2+ goals
43%
Blue Eagles 3+ goals
19%
Mitundu Baptist 1+ goals
41%
Mitundu Baptist 2+ goals
10%
Mitundu Baptist 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Blue Eagles (draw refunded)
82%
Mitundu Baptist (draw refunded)
18%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
21%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blue Eagles at home — creates 1.45, concedes 0.82 · 67 matches

Mitundu Baptist away — creates 0.25, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blue Eagles attack 1.45 + Mitundu Baptist defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.48

Mitundu Baptist attack 0.25 + Blue Eagles defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.53

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Blue Eagles scores more
61%
level
26%
Mitundu Baptist scores more
13%

Blue Eagles at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Blue Eagles will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Eagles
WLWWD
Baptist
DWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Blue Eagles host Mitundu Baptist

November 1, 2026: Blue Eagles take on Mitundu Baptist in Super League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.