Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Blue Eagles vs Kamuzu Barracks — Super League 2026

Blue Eagles
Blue Eagles
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Kamuzu Barracks
Kamuzu Barracks
5/28/2022Super LeagueSuper League · Round 9Nankhaka Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

Blue Eagles45%
×Draw28%
Kamuzu Barracks26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blue Eagles
1.29
Kamuzu Barracks
0.91

Blue Eagles creates 42% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 81 away

creates per match

Blue Eagles
1.46
Kamuzu Barracks
1.00

allows per match

Blue Eagles
0.81
Kamuzu Barracks
1.11

finishing

Blue Eagles+0.00on par
Kamuzu Barracks+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blue Eagles ↓

Kamuzu Barracks →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–110%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Blue Eagles or draw
74%
Blue Eagles or Kamuzu Barracks
72%
Draw or Kamuzu Barracks
55%

Winning margin

Blue Eagles wins by 2+
21%
Kamuzu Barracks wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Blue Eagles 1+ goals
72%
Blue Eagles 2+ goals
37%
Blue Eagles 3+ goals
14%
Kamuzu Barracks 1+ goals
60%
Kamuzu Barracks 2+ goals
23%
Kamuzu Barracks 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Blue Eagles (draw refunded)
63%
Kamuzu Barracks (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blue Eagles at home — creates 1.46, concedes 0.81 · 68 matches

Kamuzu Barracks away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.11 · 81 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blue Eagles attack 1.46 + Kamuzu Barracks defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.29

Kamuzu Barracks attack 1.00 + Blue Eagles defence 0.81 → ÷2 → 0.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Blue Eagles scores more
45%
level
28%
Kamuzu Barracks scores more
26%

Blue Eagles at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Blue Eagles will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Blue Eagles 0–0 Kamuzu Barracks

Blue Eagles and Kamuzu Barracks drew 0-0 in Super League on May 28, 2022.

The match was played at Nankhaka Stadium in Lilongwe.