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Blue Eagles vs Dedza Dynamos — Super League 2026

Blue Eagles
Blue Eagles
Preview
12:30
Dedza Dynamos
Dedza Dynamos
12/13/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 23
Big match
56%
Blue Eagles
model favours
56%25%19%

Blue Eagles sit 1, Dedza Dynamos 14 in the table

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
58%
under 2.5 goals
44%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 65+ matches

Blue Eagles56%
×Draw25%
Dedza Dynamos19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blue Eagles
1.57
Dedza Dynamos
0.80

Blue Eagles creates 96% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 65 away

creates per match

Blue Eagles
1.46
Dedza Dynamos
0.78

allows per match

Blue Eagles
0.81
Dedza Dynamos
1.69

finishing

Blue Eagles+0.00on par
Dedza Dynamos+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blue Eagles ↓

Dedza Dynamos →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–112%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
68%32%2.5
42%58%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Blue Eagles or draw
81%
Blue Eagles or Dedza Dynamos
75%
Draw or Dedza Dynamos
44%

Winning margin

Blue Eagles wins by 2+
29%
Dedza Dynamos wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Blue Eagles 1+ goals
79%
Blue Eagles 2+ goals
46%
Blue Eagles 3+ goals
21%
Dedza Dynamos 1+ goals
55%
Dedza Dynamos 2+ goals
19%
Dedza Dynamos 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Blue Eagles (draw refunded)
74%
Dedza Dynamos (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blue Eagles at home — creates 1.46, concedes 0.81 · 68 matches

Dedza Dynamos away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.69 · 65 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blue Eagles attack 1.46 + Dedza Dynamos defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.57

Dedza Dynamos attack 0.78 + Blue Eagles defence 0.81 → ÷2 → 0.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Blue Eagles scores more
56%
level
25%
Dedza Dynamos scores more
19%

Blue Eagles at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Blue Eagles will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Eagles
WLWWD
Dynamos
WDLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Blue Eagles vs Dedza Dynamos — Match Preview

Blue Eagles face Dedza Dynamos on December 13, 2026 in this Super League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.