Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Blackpool vs Wigan — League One 2018

Blackpool
Blackpool
Preview
15:00
Wigan
Wigan
11/21/2026League OneLeague One · Round 16Bloomfield Road
Big match
43%
Blackpool
model favours
43%24%32%
1–1
likely score
56%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

Blackpool43%
×Draw24%
Wigan32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blackpool
1.59
Wigan
1.35

Blackpool creates 18% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 9 away

creates per match

Blackpool
1.49
Wigan
1.07

allows per match

Blackpool
1.63
Wigan
1.70

finishing

Blackpool-0.11scores less
Wigan-0.07on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blackpool ↓

Wigan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Blackpool or draw
68%
Blackpool or Wigan
76%
Draw or Wigan
57%

Winning margin

Blackpool wins by 2+
22%
Wigan wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Blackpool 1+ goals
80%
Blackpool 2+ goals
47%
Blackpool 3+ goals
21%
Wigan 1+ goals
74%
Wigan 2+ goals
39%
Wigan 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Blackpool (draw refunded)
57%
Wigan (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blackpool at home — creates 1.49, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

Wigan away — creates 1.07, concedes 1.70 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blackpool attack 1.49 + Wigan defence 1.70 → ÷2 → 1.59

Wigan attack 1.07 + Blackpool defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Blackpool scores more
43%
level
24%
Wigan scores more
32%

Blackpool at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Blackpool will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Blackpool
Balanced
Wigan
Balanced
47%Possession48%
71%Pass accuracy74%
11.0ShotsBiggest gap10.3
1.19xG1.18
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
BlackpoolWigan

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

5
Blackpool
3
Draws
2
Wigan
Avg goals: 2.4BTTS: 50%
1–12–01–12–20–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Blackpool
LWWWW
Wigan
LLLDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Blackpool vs Wigan — Match Preview

Blackpool face Wigan on November 21, 2026 in this League One fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Blackpool host Wigan at Bloomfield Road.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.