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Beykoz İshaklıspor vs Silivrispor — League #552 2026

Beykoz İshaklıspor
Beykoz İshaklıspor
Preview
15:00
Silivrispor
Silivrispor
1/17/2027League #552League #552 · 3. Lig Group 1 - 18
41%
Silivrispor
model favours
32%27%41%

Their last 4 meetings averaged just 1.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
55%
under 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Beykoz İshaklıspor32%
×Draw27%
Silivrispor41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Beykoz İshaklıspor
1.13
Silivrispor
1.33

Silivrispor creates 18% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 6 away

creates per match

Beykoz İshaklıspor
1.25
Silivrispor
1.67

allows per match

Beykoz İshaklıspor
1.00
Silivrispor
1.00

finishing

Beykoz İshaklıspor+0.00on par
Silivrispor+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Beykoz İshaklıspor ↓

Silivrispor →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–111%
0–28%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–29%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
45%55%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Beykoz İshaklıspor or draw
59%
Beykoz İshaklıspor or Silivrispor
73%
Draw or Silivrispor
68%

Winning margin

Beykoz İshaklıspor wins by 2+
13%
Silivrispor wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Beykoz İshaklıspor 1+ goals
68%
Beykoz İshaklıspor 2+ goals
31%
Beykoz İshaklıspor 3+ goals
11%
Silivrispor 1+ goals
74%
Silivrispor 2+ goals
38%
Silivrispor 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Beykoz İshaklıspor (draw refunded)
43%
Silivrispor (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Beykoz İshaklıspor at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

Silivrispor away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.00 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Beykoz İshaklıspor attack 1.25 + Silivrispor defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.13

Silivrispor attack 1.67 + Beykoz İshaklıspor defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Beykoz İshaklıspor scores more
32%
level
27%
Silivrispor scores more
41%

Silivrispor at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Silivrispor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
İshaklıspor
DDDDD
Silivrispor
WDWLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Beykoz İshaklıspor vs Silivrispor — Match Preview

Beykoz İshaklıspor face Silivrispor on January 17, 2027 in this League #552 fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.