Beykoz İshaklıspor vs Kartal Bulvarspor

Beykoz İshaklıspor

Preview

15:00

Kartal Bulvarspor

12/6/2026

League #552 · 3. Lig Group 1 - 15

64%

Beykoz İshaklıspor

model favours

64%21%15%

Beykoz İshaklıspor sit 3, Kartal Bulvarspor 15 in the table

brightest fact of this match

1–0

likely score

53%

over 2.5 goals

48%

both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Beykoz İshaklıspor64%

×Draw21%

Kartal Bulvarspor15%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Beykoz İshaklısporExpected goals in this matchKartal Bulvarspor

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.96

0.83

Beykoz İshaklıspor

1.96

Kartal Bulvarspor

0.83

Beykoz İshaklıspor creates 136% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 3 away

1.25

creates per match

0.67

1.00

allows per match

2.67

creates per match

Beykoz İshaklıspor

1.25

Kartal Bulvarspor

0.67

allows per match

Beykoz İshaklıspor

1.00

Kartal Bulvarspor

2.67

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Beykoz İshaklıspor+0.00on par

Kartal Bulvarspor+0.00on par

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Beykoz İshaklıspor ↓

Kartal Bulvarspor →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–15%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–110%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–012%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

30%70%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Beykoz İshaklıspor or draw

85%

Beykoz İshaklıspor or Kartal Bulvarspor

79%

Draw or Kartal Bulvarspor

36%

Winning margin

Beykoz İshaklıspor wins by 2+

39%

Kartal Bulvarspor wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Beykoz İshaklıspor 1+ goals

86%

Beykoz İshaklıspor 2+ goals

58%

Beykoz İshaklıspor 3+ goals

31%

Kartal Bulvarspor 1+ goals

56%

Kartal Bulvarspor 2+ goals

20%

Kartal Bulvarspor 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

Beykoz İshaklıspor (draw refunded)

81%

Kartal Bulvarspor (draw refunded)

19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Beykoz İshaklıspor at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

Kartal Bulvarspor away — creates 0.67, concedes 2.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Beykoz İshaklıspor attack 1.25 + Kartal Bulvarspor defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 1.96

Kartal Bulvarspor attack 0.67 + Beykoz İshaklıspor defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

Beykoz İshaklıspor scores more

64%

level

21%

Kartal Bulvarspor scores more

15%

Beykoz İshaklıspor at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Beykoz İshaklıspor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form

İshaklıspor

DDDDD

Bulvarspor

DWLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff