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Beşiktaş vs Dinamo Zagreb — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
Canc
15:30
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
7/13/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 1Športni park Lendava

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Beşiktaş20%
×Draw19%
Dinamo Zagreb61%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Beşiktaş
1.30
Dinamo Zagreb
2.40

Dinamo Zagreb creates 85% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 5 away

creates per match

Beşiktaş
2.00
Dinamo Zagreb
3.80

allows per match

Beşiktaş
1.00
Dinamo Zagreb
0.60

finishing

Beşiktaş+0.00on par
Dinamo Zagreb+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Beşiktaş ↓

Dinamo Zagreb →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–27%
0–36%
0–43%
1
1–03%
1–18%
1–29%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–26%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Beşiktaş or draw
39%
Beşiktaş or Dinamo Zagreb
81%
Draw or Dinamo Zagreb
80%

Winning margin

Beşiktaş wins by 2+
8%
Dinamo Zagreb wins by 2+
40%

Team goals

Beşiktaş 1+ goals
73%
Beşiktaş 2+ goals
37%
Beşiktaş 3+ goals
14%
Dinamo Zagreb 1+ goals
91%
Dinamo Zagreb 2+ goals
69%
Dinamo Zagreb 3+ goals
42%

Draw no bet

Beşiktaş (draw refunded)
24%
Dinamo Zagreb (draw refunded)
76%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Beşiktaş at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.00 · 4 matches

Dinamo Zagreb away — creates 3.80, concedes 0.60 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Beşiktaş attack 2.00 + Dinamo Zagreb defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 1.30

Dinamo Zagreb attack 3.80 + Beşiktaş defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 2.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Beşiktaş scores more
20%
level
19%
Dinamo Zagreb scores more
61%

Dinamo Zagreb at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Dinamo Zagreb will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Beşiktaş host Dinamo Zagreb

July 13, 2024: Beşiktaş take on Dinamo Zagreb in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Beşiktaş host Dinamo Zagreb at Športni park Lendava.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.