Be Forward Wanderers vs Masters FC

Be Forward Wanderers

Preview

12:30

Masters FC

8/16/2026

Super League · Round 11

69%

Be Forward Wanderers

model favours

69%21%10%

Be Forward Wanderers win just 40% against the top half (vs 71% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–0

likely score

57%

under 2.5 goals

36%

both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Be Forward Wanderers69%

×Draw21%

Masters FC10%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Be Forward WanderersExpected goals in this matchMasters FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.86

0.56

Be Forward Wanderers

1.86

Masters FC

0.56

Be Forward Wanderers creates 232% more chances

Season form · 81 home / 4 away

1.98

creates per match

0.50

0.62

allows per match

1.75

creates per match

Be Forward Wanderers

1.98

Masters FC

0.50

allows per match

Be Forward Wanderers

0.62

Masters FC

1.75

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Be Forward Wanderers+0.00on par

Masters FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No64
Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Be Forward Wanderers ↓

Masters FC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–15%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–017%

1–19%

1–23%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–015%

2–19%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–010%

3–15%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Be Forward Wanderers or draw

90%

Be Forward Wanderers or Masters FC

79%

Draw or Masters FC

31%

Winning margin

Be Forward Wanderers wins by 2+

42%

Masters FC wins by 2+

2%

Team goals

Be Forward Wanderers 1+ goals

84%

Be Forward Wanderers 2+ goals

55%

Be Forward Wanderers 3+ goals

28%

Masters FC 1+ goals

43%

Masters FC 2+ goals

11%

Masters FC 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Be Forward Wanderers (draw refunded)

87%

Masters FC (draw refunded)

13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

27%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Be Forward Wanderers at home — creates 1.98, concedes 0.62 · 81 matches

Masters FC away — creates 0.50, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Be Forward Wanderers attack 1.98 + Masters FC defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.86

Masters FC attack 0.50 + Be Forward Wanderers defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 69%?"

Be Forward Wanderers scores more

69%

level

21%

Masters FC scores more

10%

Be Forward Wanderers at 69% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 69% does not mean "Be Forward Wanderers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

Be Forward Wanderers and Masters FC have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form

Wanderers

WDDW

FC

WLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff