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Bayern Hof vs Eintracht Bamberg — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

Bayern Hof
Bayern Hof
Preview
13:00
Eintracht Bamberg
Eintracht Bamberg
10/31/2026Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 17
42%
Eintracht Bamberg
model favours
33%25%42%

Eintracht Bamberg raise their game against the top half — 56% wins vs the upper half, only 50% vs the lower

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
56%
over 2.5 goals
58%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 33+ matches

Bayern Hof33%
×Draw25%
Eintracht Bamberg42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bayern Hof
1.35
Eintracht Bamberg
1.56

Eintracht Bamberg creates 16% more chances

Season form · 68 home / 33 away

creates per match

Bayern Hof
1.44
Eintracht Bamberg
1.70

allows per match

Bayern Hof
1.43
Eintracht Bamberg
1.27

finishing

Bayern Hof+0.00on par
Eintracht Bamberg+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bayern Hof ↓

Eintracht Bamberg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–19%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Bayern Hof or draw
58%
Bayern Hof or Eintracht Bamberg
75%
Draw or Eintracht Bamberg
67%

Winning margin

Bayern Hof wins by 2+
15%
Eintracht Bamberg wins by 2+
21%

Team goals

Bayern Hof 1+ goals
74%
Bayern Hof 2+ goals
39%
Bayern Hof 3+ goals
15%
Eintracht Bamberg 1+ goals
79%
Eintracht Bamberg 2+ goals
46%
Eintracht Bamberg 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Bayern Hof (draw refunded)
44%
Eintracht Bamberg (draw refunded)
56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bayern Hof at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.43 · 68 matches

Eintracht Bamberg away — creates 1.70, concedes 1.27 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bayern Hof attack 1.44 + Eintracht Bamberg defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.35

Eintracht Bamberg attack 1.70 + Bayern Hof defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Bayern Hof scores more
33%
level
25%
Eintracht Bamberg scores more
42%

Eintracht Bamberg at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Eintracht Bamberg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Hof
DDWW
Bamberg
LWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Bayern Hof host Eintracht Bamberg

October 31, 2026: Bayern Hof take on Eintracht Bamberg in Oberliga - Bayern Nord. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.