Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Barnet vs Walsall — League Two 2018

Barnet
Barnet
Preview
15:00
Walsall
Walsall
2/27/2027League TwoLeague Two · Round 33The Hive Stadium
40%
Barnet
model favours
40%23%36%

Barnet are unbeaten in 5 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
63%
over 2.5 goals
64%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 9+ matches

Barnet40%
×Draw23%
Walsall36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Barnet
1.67
Walsall
1.58

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 9 home / 10 away

creates per match

Barnet
2.12
Walsall
1.86

allows per match

Barnet
1.31
Walsall
1.21

finishing

Barnet-0.01on par
Walsall+0.04on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Barnet ↓

Walsall →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Barnet or draw
64%
Barnet or Walsall
77%
Draw or Walsall
60%

Winning margin

Barnet wins by 2+
20%
Walsall wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Barnet 1+ goals
81%
Barnet 2+ goals
50%
Barnet 3+ goals
23%
Walsall 1+ goals
79%
Walsall 2+ goals
47%
Walsall 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Barnet (draw refunded)
52%
Walsall (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Barnet at home — creates 2.12, concedes 1.31 · 9 matches

Walsall away — creates 1.86, concedes 1.21 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Barnet attack 2.12 + Walsall defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.67

Walsall attack 1.86 + Barnet defence 1.31 → ÷2 → 1.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Barnet scores more
40%
level
23%
Walsall scores more
36%

Barnet at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Barnet will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 80% of Barnet’s matches
  • Barnet score first in only 30% of matches
  • Barnet have scored in 7 games running
  • Style contrast — Barnet play Possession-dominant, Walsall Direct / counter-attacking
  • 70% of Barnet’s matches go over 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Barnet
Possession-dominant
Walsall
Direct / counter-attacking
55%PossessionBiggest gap43%
68%Pass accuracy64%
13.6Shots11.7
1.74xG1.39
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
BarnetWalsall

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Barnet
DDWWW
Walsall
LDLLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Barnet vs Walsall — Match Preview

Barnet face Walsall on February 27, 2027 in this League Two fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Barnet host Walsall at The Hive Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.