Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Barcelona W vs FC Levante Badalona W — Primera División Femenina 2018

Barcelona W
Barcelona W
Preview
16:00
FC Levante Badalona W
FC Levante Badalona W
1/31/2027Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 18Estadi Johan Cruyff
Big match
87%
Barcelona W
model favours
87%9%4%

Barcelona W have won 8 of the last 8 meetings

brightest fact of this match

3–0
likely score
76%
over 2.5 goals
47%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

Barcelona W87%
×Draw9%
FC Levante Badalona W4%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Barcelona W
3.45
FC Levante Badalona W
0.66

Barcelona W creates 423% more chances

Season form · 118 home / 60 away

creates per match

Barcelona W
4.95
FC Levante Badalona W
0.88

allows per match

Barcelona W
0.44
FC Levante Badalona W
1.95

finishing

Barcelona W+0.00on par
FC Levante Badalona W+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Barcelona W ↓

FC Levante Badalona W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–11%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–14%
1–21%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–17%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–012%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–010%
4–17%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (12%) · grid covers 78% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
35%65%

Double chance

Barcelona W or draw
96%
Barcelona W or FC Levante Badalona W
91%
Draw or FC Levante Badalona W
13%

Winning margin

Barcelona W wins by 2+
71%
FC Levante Badalona W wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

Barcelona W 1+ goals
97%
Barcelona W 2+ goals
85%
Barcelona W 3+ goals
65%
FC Levante Badalona W 1+ goals
48%
FC Levante Badalona W 2+ goals
14%
FC Levante Badalona W 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Barcelona W (draw refunded)
96%
FC Levante Badalona W (draw refunded)
4%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Barcelona W at home — creates 4.95, concedes 0.44 · 118 matches

FC Levante Badalona W away — creates 0.88, concedes 1.95 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Barcelona W attack 4.95 + FC Levante Badalona W defence 1.95 → ÷2 → 3.45

FC Levante Badalona W attack 0.88 + Barcelona W defence 0.44 → ÷2 → 0.66

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 87%?"

Barcelona W scores more
87%
level
9%
FC Levante Badalona W scores more
4%

Barcelona W at 87% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 87% does not mean "Barcelona W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • FC Levante Badalona W win just 9% against the top half (vs 39% against the bottom)
  • Their last 8 meetings averaged 5.9 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
WWWWW
W
WLDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Barcelona W face FC Levante Badalona W (Primera División Femenina)

Primera División Femenina returns with Barcelona W hosting FC Levante Badalona W. Match starts January 31, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Barcelona W host FC Levante Badalona W at Estadi Johan Cruyff.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.