Barcelona W vs Athletic Club W — Primera División Femenina 2018
Barcelona W have won 10 of the last 10 meetings
brightest fact of this match
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 119+ matches
Barcelona W83%
Athletic Club W6%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Barcelona W creates 295% more chances
Season form · 119 home / 120 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over76
- Under24
3+ goals likely
Both teams score
- Yes54
- No46
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Barcelona W ↓
Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 81% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Barcelona W at home — creates 4.93, concedes 0.44 · 119 matches
Athletic Club W away — creates 1.21, concedes 1.55 · 120 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Barcelona W attack 4.93 + Athletic Club W defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 3.24
Athletic Club W attack 1.21 + Barcelona W defence 0.44 → ÷2 → 0.82
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 83%?"
Barcelona W at 83% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 83% does not mean "Barcelona W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Insights
- Athletic Club W win just 28% against the top half (vs 60% against the bottom)
- Their last 10 meetings averaged 4.9 goals
Based on historical data — not a prediction.
Style Matchup
Contrasting stylesHead-to-head
10 previous meetings
Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
Atletico Madrid WBarcelona W
Levante W
Granad. Tenerife WAthletic Club W
Real Betis W
Real Sociedad W
Espanyol W
Valencia W
Edf Logrono W
Sevilla W
Rayo Vallecano W
Madrid CFF W
Sporting Huelva W
Malaga W
Fundacion Albacete WIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Barcelona W host Athletic Club W on Sunday, 22 November 2026 at 16:00. The match is part of the Primera División Femenina 2018/2019 season.
Barcelona W face Athletic Club W (Primera División Femenina)
Primera División Femenina returns with Barcelona W hosting Athletic Club W. Match starts November 22, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.
Barcelona W host Athletic Club W at Estadi Johan Cruyff.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.