Barcelona SC vs Tecnico Universitario — Liga Pro 2026
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 127+ matches
Barcelona SC56%
Tecnico Universitario20%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Barcelona SC creates 92% more chances
Season form · 134 home / 127 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under55
- Over45
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- No54
- Yes46
One side may not score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Barcelona SC ↓
Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Barcelona SC at home — creates 1.87, concedes 0.84 · 134 matches
Tecnico Universitario away — creates 0.86, concedes 1.39 · 127 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Barcelona SC attack 1.87 + Tecnico Universitario defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.63
Tecnico Universitario attack 0.86 + Barcelona SC defence 0.84 → ÷2 → 0.85
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 56%?"
Barcelona SC at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 56% does not mean "Barcelona SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Events
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Macara
AucasBarcelona SC
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SC
Manta FCIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Barcelona SC host Tecnico Universitario on Sunday, 27 October 2019 at 19:30. The match is part of the Liga Pro 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Barcelona SC vs Tecnico Universitario
Tecnico Universitario beat Barcelona SC 1-0 in Liga Pro on October 27, 2019.
Goals: I. Zambrano (52').
The match was played at Estadio Monumental Isidro Romero Carbo (Guayaquil).