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Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom vs Lokomotíva Zvolen — 2. liga 2019

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Preview
13:00
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
10/10/20262. liga2. liga · Round 12Futbalovy stadion OFK Banik
41%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
model favours
41%24%36%

Lokomotíva Zvolen have won 4 of the last 4 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
61%
over 2.5 goals
63%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom41%
×Draw24%
Lokomotíva Zvolen36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.64
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.52

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 15 home / 30 away

creates per match

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.80
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17

allows per match

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.87
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47

finishing

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom+0.00on par
Lokomotíva Zvolen+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom ↓

Lokomotíva Zvolen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom or draw
64%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom or Lokomotíva Zvolen
76%
Draw or Lokomotíva Zvolen
59%

Winning margin

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom wins by 2+
21%
Lokomotíva Zvolen wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 1+ goals
81%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 2+ goals
49%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 3+ goals
23%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 1+ goals
78%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 2+ goals
45%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom (draw refunded)
53%
Lokomotíva Zvolen (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom at home — creates 1.80, concedes 1.87 · 15 matches

Lokomotíva Zvolen away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.47 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom attack 1.80 + Lokomotíva Zvolen defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.64

Lokomotíva Zvolen attack 1.17 + Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom defence 1.87 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom scores more
41%
level
24%
Lokomotíva Zvolen scores more
36%

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 meetings
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged 3.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
p.Vtáčnikom
LDWWD
Zvolen
DDLLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom face Lokomotíva Zvolen (2. liga)

2. liga returns with Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom hosting Lokomotíva Zvolen. Match starts October 10, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom host Lokomotíva Zvolen at Futbalovy stadion OFK Banik.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.