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Bangor vs Cliftonville FC — League #408 2026

Bangor
Bangor
Preview
14:00
Cliftonville FC
Cliftonville FC
8/15/2026League #408League #408 · Round 2Clandeboye Park
Big match
51%
Cliftonville FC
model favours
26%24%51%

Cliftonville FC have won 4 in a row

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
56%
over 2.5 goals
57%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Bangor26%
×Draw24%
Cliftonville FC51%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bangor
1.18
Cliftonville FC
1.76

Cliftonville FC creates 49% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 25 away

creates per match

Bangor
0.88
Cliftonville FC
1.76

allows per match

Bangor
1.76
Cliftonville FC
1.48

finishing

Bangor+0.00on par
Cliftonville FC+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bangor ↓

Cliftonville FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–19%
0–28%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Bangor or draw
49%
Bangor or Cliftonville FC
76%
Draw or Cliftonville FC
74%

Winning margin

Bangor wins by 2+
10%
Cliftonville FC wins by 2+
28%

Team goals

Bangor 1+ goals
69%
Bangor 2+ goals
33%
Bangor 3+ goals
12%
Cliftonville FC 1+ goals
83%
Cliftonville FC 2+ goals
52%
Cliftonville FC 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Bangor (draw refunded)
33%
Cliftonville FC (draw refunded)
67%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bangor at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.76 · 17 matches

Cliftonville FC away — creates 1.76, concedes 1.48 · 25 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bangor attack 0.88 + Cliftonville FC defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.18

Cliftonville FC attack 1.76 + Bangor defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.76

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Bangor scores more
26%
level
24%
Cliftonville FC scores more
51%

Cliftonville FC at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Cliftonville FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Bangor have won 3 in a row
  • Bangor score first in only 29% of matches
  • 71% of Bangor’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Cliftonville FC have scored in 7 games running

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Bangor
WWWLW
FC
WWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Bangor host Cliftonville FC

August 15, 2026: Bangor take on Cliftonville FC in League #408. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Bangor host Cliftonville FC at Clandeboye Park.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.