B68 0–2 KI Klaksvik: Result & Stats

B68

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 0

KI Klaksvik

J. Danielsen 67'

H. Hánsson 52'

4/3/2025

Meistaradeildin · Round 4Svangaskarð

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 76+ matches

B6814%

×Draw18%

KI Klaksvik67%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

B68Expected goals in this matchKI Klaksvik

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.95

2.30

B68

0.95

KI Klaksvik

2.30

KI Klaksvik creates 142% more chances

Season form · 76 home / 104 away

1.21

creates per match

2.64

1.96

allows per match

0.70

creates per match

B68

1.21

KI Klaksvik

2.64

allows per match

B68

1.96

KI Klaksvik

0.70

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

B68+0.00on par

KI Klaksvik+0.00on par

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

B68 ↓

KI Klaksvik →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–19%

0–210%

0–38%

0–45%

1

1–04%

1–19%

1–210%

1–38%

1–44%

2

2–02%

2–14%

2–25%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–01%

3–11%

3–21%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

63%37%3.5

40%60%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

B68 or draw

33%

B68 or KI Klaksvik

82%

Draw or KI Klaksvik

86%

Winning margin

B68 wins by 2+

5%

KI Klaksvik wins by 2+

44%

Team goals

B68 1+ goals

61%

B68 2+ goals

25%

B68 3+ goals

7%

KI Klaksvik 1+ goals

90%

KI Klaksvik 2+ goals

67%

KI Klaksvik 3+ goals

40%

Draw no bet

B68 (draw refunded)

17%

KI Klaksvik (draw refunded)

83%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

B68 at home — creates 1.21, concedes 1.96 · 76 matches

KI Klaksvik away — creates 2.64, concedes 0.70 · 104 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

B68 attack 1.21 + KI Klaksvik defence 0.70 → ÷2 → 0.95

KI Klaksvik attack 2.64 + B68 defence 1.96 → ÷2 → 2.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

B68 scores more

14%

level

18%

KI Klaksvik scores more

67%

KI Klaksvik at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "KI Klaksvik will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

36'

H. Hojgaard

50'

T. Thomsen

52'

H. Hánsson

61'

G. Tellechea← D. Pavlović

63'

D. Samuelsen← M. Nón

67'

J. Danielsen

75'

J. Johannessen← F. Brattbakk

76'

M. Jacobsen

78'

R. Steinhólm← E. Kulego

87'

K. Clementsen← M. Jacobsen

90'

K. Clementsen

90+3'

H. Hansson

B68

KI

⚽

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: J. á Borg

63'▲D. Samuelsen←▼M. Nón

78'▲R. Steinhólm←▼E. Kulego

87'▲K. Clementsen←▼M. Jacobsen

B68 substitutes

SamuelsenSteinhólmClementsenHansenJohansenNilssonSamuelsen

Manager: M. Powell

61'▲G. Tellechea←▼D. Pavlović

75'▲J. Johannessen←▼F. Brattbakk

KI Klaksvik substitutes

TellecheaJohannessenAndreasenGonzálezMikkelsenJohnGiusti