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B 93 vs Nykobing FC — 2nd Division - Group 1 2018

B 93
B 93
Preview
12:00
Nykobing FC
Nykobing FC
4/3/20272nd Division - Group 12nd Division - Group 1 · Round 22
53%
B 93
model favours
53%23%24%

Nykobing FC are unbeaten in 11 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 32+ matches

B 9353%
×Draw23%
Nykobing FC24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

B 93
1.89
Nykobing FC
1.21

B 93 creates 56% more chances

Season form · 47 home / 32 away

creates per match

B 93
1.62
Nykobing FC
1.13

allows per match

B 93
1.30
Nykobing FC
2.16

finishing

B 93+0.00on par
Nykobing FC+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

B 93 ↓

Nykobing FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

B 93 or draw
76%
B 93 or Nykobing FC
77%
Draw or Nykobing FC
47%

Winning margin

B 93 wins by 2+
30%
Nykobing FC wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

B 93 1+ goals
85%
B 93 2+ goals
56%
B 93 3+ goals
29%
Nykobing FC 1+ goals
70%
Nykobing FC 2+ goals
34%
Nykobing FC 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

B 93 (draw refunded)
69%
Nykobing FC (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

B 93 at home — creates 1.62, concedes 1.30 · 47 matches

Nykobing FC away — creates 1.13, concedes 2.16 · 32 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

B 93 attack 1.62 + Nykobing FC defence 2.16 → ÷2 → 1.89

Nykobing FC attack 1.13 + B 93 defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

B 93 scores more
53%
level
23%
Nykobing FC scores more
24%

B 93 at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "B 93 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Nykobing FC have won 6 in a row
  • 73% of Nykobing FC’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • B 93 and Nykobing FC have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
93
LDWDD
FC
WWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

B 93 face Nykobing FC (2nd Division - Group 1)

2nd Division - Group 1 returns with B 93 hosting Nykobing FC. Match starts April 3, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.