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B 93 vs Middelfart — 2nd Division - Group 1 2018

B 93
B 93
Preview
13:00
Middelfart
Middelfart
10/10/20262nd Division - Group 12nd Division - Group 1 · Round 11
Big match
40%
B 93
model favours
40%26%34%

B 93 have won 6 of the last 8 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
52%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 47+ matches

B 9340%
×Draw26%
Middelfart34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

B 93
1.44
Middelfart
1.31

B 93 creates 10% more chances

Season form · 47 home / 56 away

creates per match

B 93
1.62
Middelfart
1.32

allows per match

B 93
1.30
Middelfart
1.25

finishing

B 93+0.00on par
Middelfart+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

B 93 ↓

Middelfart →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

B 93 or draw
66%
B 93 or Middelfart
74%
Draw or Middelfart
60%

Winning margin

B 93 wins by 2+
19%
Middelfart wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

B 93 1+ goals
76%
B 93 2+ goals
42%
B 93 3+ goals
18%
Middelfart 1+ goals
73%
Middelfart 2+ goals
38%
Middelfart 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

B 93 (draw refunded)
54%
Middelfart (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

B 93 at home — creates 1.62, concedes 1.30 · 47 matches

Middelfart away — creates 1.32, concedes 1.25 · 56 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

B 93 attack 1.62 + Middelfart defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.44

Middelfart attack 1.32 + B 93 defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

B 93 scores more
40%
level
26%
Middelfart scores more
34%

B 93 at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "B 93 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
93
LDWDD
Middelfart
LLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

B 93 vs Middelfart — Match Preview

B 93 face Middelfart on October 10, 2026 in this 2nd Division - Group 1 fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.