Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

B 93 vs Kolding IF — 2nd Division - Group 1 2018

B 93
B 93
FT
3 – 2
HT: 2 – 0
Kolding IF
Kolding IF
A. Heimer 72'
A. Daghim 39'
S. Schultz Christensen 13'
T. Mikkelsen 67', 53'
8/27/20222nd Division - Group 12nd Division - Group 1 · Round 4Østerbro Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 33+ matches

B 9331%
×Draw25%
Kolding IF44%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

B 93
1.24
Kolding IF
1.52

Kolding IF creates 23% more chances

Season form · 47 home / 33 away

creates per match

B 93
1.62
Kolding IF
1.73

allows per match

B 93
1.30
Kolding IF
0.85

finishing

B 93+0.00on par
Kolding IF+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

B 93 ↓

Kolding IF →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–110%
0–27%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

B 93 or draw
56%
B 93 or Kolding IF
75%
Draw or Kolding IF
69%

Winning margin

B 93 wins by 2+
13%
Kolding IF wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

B 93 1+ goals
71%
B 93 2+ goals
35%
B 93 3+ goals
13%
Kolding IF 1+ goals
78%
Kolding IF 2+ goals
45%
Kolding IF 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

B 93 (draw refunded)
42%
Kolding IF (draw refunded)
58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

B 93 at home — creates 1.62, concedes 1.30 · 47 matches

Kolding IF away — creates 1.73, concedes 0.85 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

B 93 attack 1.62 + Kolding IF defence 0.85 → ÷2 → 1.24

Kolding IF attack 1.73 + B 93 defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

B 93 scores more
31%
level
25%
Kolding IF scores more
44%

Kolding IF at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Kolding IF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

13'
S. Schultz Christensen
39'
A. Daghim
53'
T. Mikkelsen
67'
T. Mikkelsen
72'
A. Heimer

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

2nd Division - Group 1: B 93 3–2 Kolding IF

B 93 beat Kolding IF 3-2 in 2nd Division - Group 1 on August 27, 2022.

Goals: S. Schultz Christensen (13'), A. Daghim (39'), T. Mikkelsen (53', 67'), A. Heimer (72').

The match was played at Østerbro Stadion in København.