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Austria W vs Kosovo W — World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe 2027

Austria W
Austria W
Preview
13:00
Kosovo W
Kosovo W
10/13/2026World Cup - Women - Qualification EuropeWorld Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · Semi-finals
Big match
80%
Kosovo W
model favours
4%15%80%

Austria W score first in only 18% of matches

brightest fact of this match

0–2
likely score
55%
under 2.5 goals
25%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Austria W4%
×Draw15%
Kosovo W80%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Austria W
0.33
Kosovo W
2.17

Kosovo W creates 558% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

Austria W
0.33
Kosovo W
4.00

allows per match

Austria W
0.33
Kosovo W
0.33

finishing

Austria W+0.00on par
Kosovo W+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

75%No
  • No75
  • Yes25

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Austria W ↓

Kosovo W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–118%
0–219%
0–314%
0–48%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–26%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–00%
2–11%
2–21%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–00%
3–10%
3–20%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (19%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
24%76%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Austria W or draw
20%
Austria W or Kosovo W
85%
Draw or Kosovo W
96%

Winning margin

Austria W wins by 2+
1%
Kosovo W wins by 2+
55%

Team goals

Austria W 1+ goals
28%
Austria W 2+ goals
4%
Austria W 3+ goals
0%
Kosovo W 1+ goals
89%
Kosovo W 2+ goals
64%
Kosovo W 3+ goals
36%

Draw no bet

Austria W (draw refunded)
5%
Kosovo W (draw refunded)
95%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
19%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Austria W at home — creates 0.33, concedes 0.33 · 3 matches

Kosovo W away — creates 4.00, concedes 0.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Austria W attack 0.33 + Kosovo W defence 0.33 → ÷2 → 0.33

Kosovo W attack 4.00 + Austria W defence 0.33 → ÷2 → 2.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 80%?"

Austria W scores more
4%
level
15%
Kosovo W scores more
80%

Kosovo W at 80% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 80% does not mean "Kosovo W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Kosovo W score first in only 20% of matches
  • 70% of Kosovo W’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams score in only 30% of Kosovo W’s matches
  • Top-of-the-table clash — Austria W 3 vs Kosovo W 1
  • Austria W and Kosovo W have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
LWDLL
W
WLWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Austria W vs Kosovo W — Match Preview

Austria W face Kosovo W on October 13, 2026 in this World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.