Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 8+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
44%
Over
56%
Under
Both Score
49%
Yes
51%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
1-0
12%
0-1
9%
xG Profile (8 home / 8 away matches)
Atletico-MG
xG 1.52 · xGA 1.01
+0.61 vs xG
Sao Paulo
xG 1.07 · xGA 1.27
+0.06 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Mar 18, 2026, 11:00 PM
- Tournament
- Serie A · Serie A · Regular Season - 7
- Referee
- F. Mendes
- Venue
- MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Atletico-MG
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51331%
- Under 2.52969%
Both teams scored
- Yes1536%
- No2764%
Sao Paulo
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52447%
- Under 2.52753%
Both teams scored
- Yes2549%
- No2651%
Player of the match
Match Events

Head to Head
If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Atletico-MG host Sao Paulo on Wednesday, 18 March 2026 at 23:00. The match is part of the Serie A 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG beat Sao Paulo 1-0 in Serie A on March 18, 2026.
Goals: I. Roman (64').
Sao Paulo controlled possession (70%) and registered 12 shots to 13.
The match was played at MRV Arena in Belo Horizonte.
























