Scoreo

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

Atletico-MG 45%Draw 27%28% Sao
1.4Expected xG1.04

Over / Under 2.5

44%

Over

56%

Under

Both Score

49%

Yes

51%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

13%

1-0

12%

0-1

9%

xG Profile (8 home / 8 away matches)

Atletico-MG

xG 1.52 · xGA 1.01

+0.61 vs xG

Sao Paulo

xG 1.07 · xGA 1.27

+0.06 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Atletico-MG vs Sao PauloSerie A 2026

Serie ASerie A·2026📍MRV Arena
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
FT
10
HT: 00
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
I. Roman 64'
Date
Mar 18, 2026, 11:00 PM
Tournament
Serie A · Serie A · Regular Season - 7
Referee
F. Mendes
Venue
MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Atletico-MG

Over / Under 2.5

31%over 2.5
  • Over 2.51331%
  • Under 2.52969%

Both teams scored

36%BTTS
  • Yes1536%
  • No2764%

Sao Paulo

Over / Under 2.5

47%over 2.5
  • Over 2.52447%
  • Under 2.52753%

Both teams scored

49%BTTS
  • Yes2549%
  • No2651%

Player of the match

23
A. PreciadoAtletico-MGAtletico-MG · D
7.7

Possession

30%Atletico-MG

Shots

13Atletico-MG

Pass accuracy

45%Atletico-MG

Statistics

Atletico-MGSao
Overview
30%Possession70%
13Total Shots12
1.07Expected Goals (xG)0.58
4Corners1
16Fouls17
Shots
13Total Shots12
4On Target3
4Off Target4
5Blocked5
8Inside Box4
5Outside Box8
Passing
30%Possession70%
239Total Passes584
175Accurate Passes515
73%Pass Accuracy88%
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
0.27Goals Prevented0.27
Discipline
16Fouls17
1Yellow Cards1
2Offsides0

Match Recap: Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo

Atletico-MG beat Sao Paulo 1-0 in Serie A on March 18, 2026.

Goals: I. Roman (64').

Sao Paulo controlled possession (70%) and registered 12 shots to 13.

The match was played at MRV Arena in Belo Horizonte.