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Atl. Andahuaylas W vs Killas W — Liga Women 2026

Atl. Andahuaylas W
Atl. Andahuaylas W
Preview
15:00
Killas W
Killas W
8/9/2026Liga WomenLiga Women · Clausura - 4
62%
Atl. Andahuaylas W
model favours
62%18%20%
2–1
likely score
79%
over 2.5 goals
73%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Atl. Andahuaylas W62%
×Draw18%
Killas W20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Atl. Andahuaylas W
2.71
Killas W
1.52

Atl. Andahuaylas W creates 78% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 5 away

creates per match

Atl. Andahuaylas W
1.83
Killas W
2.20

allows per match

Atl. Andahuaylas W
0.83
Killas W
3.60

finishing

Atl. Andahuaylas W+0.00on par
Killas W+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%Yes
  • Yes73
  • No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Atl. Andahuaylas W ↓

Killas W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–16%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–18%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
92%8%2.5
79%21%3.5
60%40%4.5
40%60%

Double chance

Atl. Andahuaylas W or draw
80%
Atl. Andahuaylas W or Killas W
82%
Draw or Killas W
38%

Winning margin

Atl. Andahuaylas W wins by 2+
42%
Killas W wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Atl. Andahuaylas W 1+ goals
93%
Atl. Andahuaylas W 2+ goals
75%
Atl. Andahuaylas W 3+ goals
50%
Killas W 1+ goals
78%
Killas W 2+ goals
45%
Killas W 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Atl. Andahuaylas W (draw refunded)
75%
Killas W (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
67%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Atl. Andahuaylas W at home — creates 1.83, concedes 0.83 · 6 matches

Killas W away — creates 2.20, concedes 3.60 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Atl. Andahuaylas W attack 1.83 + Killas W defence 3.60 → ÷2 → 2.71

Killas W attack 2.20 + Atl. Andahuaylas W defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Atl. Andahuaylas W scores more
62%
level
18%
Killas W scores more
20%

Atl. Andahuaylas W at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Atl. Andahuaylas W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
W
DLWWW
W
LLWLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Atl. Andahuaylas W host Killas W

August 9, 2026: Atl. Andahuaylas W take on Killas W in Liga Women. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.