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Artis vs Chrudim — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Artis
Artis
FT
1 – 0
Chrudim
Chrudim
5/19/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion SK Líšeň

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Artis57%
×Draw23%
Chrudim20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Artis
1.84
Chrudim
1.00

Artis creates 84% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 5 away

creates per match

Artis
1.88
Chrudim
1.00

allows per match

Artis
1.00
Chrudim
1.80

finishing

Artis+0.00on par
Chrudim+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Artis ↓

Chrudim →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–111%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
54%46%3.5
31%69%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Artis or draw
80%
Artis or Chrudim
77%
Draw or Chrudim
43%

Winning margin

Artis wins by 2+
33%
Chrudim wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Artis 1+ goals
84%
Artis 2+ goals
55%
Artis 3+ goals
28%
Chrudim 1+ goals
63%
Chrudim 2+ goals
26%
Chrudim 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Artis (draw refunded)
74%
Chrudim (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Artis at home — creates 1.88, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

Chrudim away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Artis attack 1.88 + Chrudim defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.84

Chrudim attack 1.00 + Artis defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.00

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Artis scores more
57%
level
23%
Chrudim scores more
20%

Artis at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Artis will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Artis vs Chrudim

Artis beat Chrudim 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on May 19, 2020.

The match was played at Stadion SK Líšeň in Brno.