Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 11+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
50%
Over
50%
Under
Both Score
53%
Yes
47%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
xG Profile (11 home / 14 away matches)
Arouca
xG 1.41 · xGA 1.28
+0.59 vs xG
Estrela
xG 0.98 · xGA 1.69
+0.16 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Oct 11, 2026, 3:00 PM
- Tournament
- Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8
- Venue
- Arouca
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Arouca
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53561%
- Under 2.52239%
Both teams scored
- Yes3053%
- No2747%
Estrela
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52746%
- Under 2.53254%
Both teams scored
- Yes2644%
- No3356%
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica
SC Braga
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Estoril
Alverca
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Nacional
Casa Pia
Estrela
Tondela
AVS
TorreenseIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Arouca host Estrela on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 15:00. The match is part of the Primeira Liga 2026/2027 season.
Arouca vs Estrela — Match Preview
Arouca face Estrela on October 11, 2026 in this Primeira Liga fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.