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Antwerp vs K. Lierse S.K. — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Antwerp
Antwerp
Preview
12:00
K. Lierse S.K.
K. Lierse S.K.
7/25/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
model favours
23%28%49%

Antwerp score first in only 13% of matches

brightest fact of this match

0–1
likely score
63%
under 2.5 goals
42%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Antwerp23%
×Draw28%
K. Lierse S.K.49%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Antwerp
0.84
K. Lierse S.K.
1.35

K. Lierse S.K. creates 61% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 12 away

creates per match

Antwerp
0.60
K. Lierse S.K.
1.50

allows per match

Antwerp
1.20
K. Lierse S.K.
1.08

finishing

Antwerp+0.00on par
K. Lierse S.K.+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Antwerp ↓

K. Lierse S.K. →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–115%
0–210%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–09%
1–113%
1–29%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–15%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Antwerp or draw
51%
Antwerp or K. Lierse S.K.
72%
Draw or K. Lierse S.K.
77%

Winning margin

Antwerp wins by 2+
7%
K. Lierse S.K. wins by 2+
23%

Team goals

Antwerp 1+ goals
57%
Antwerp 2+ goals
21%
Antwerp 3+ goals
5%
K. Lierse S.K. 1+ goals
74%
K. Lierse S.K. 2+ goals
39%
K. Lierse S.K. 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Antwerp (draw refunded)
32%
K. Lierse S.K. (draw refunded)
68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Antwerp at home — creates 0.60, concedes 1.20 · 5 matches

K. Lierse S.K. away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.08 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Antwerp attack 0.60 + K. Lierse S.K. defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 0.84

K. Lierse S.K. attack 1.50 + Antwerp defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Antwerp scores more
23%
level
28%
K. Lierse S.K. scores more
49%

K. Lierse S.K. at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "K. Lierse S.K. will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Antwerp
WLDW
S.K.
LLWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Antwerp host K. Lierse S.K.

July 25, 2026: Antwerp take on K. Lierse S.K. in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.