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Andijan vs Bunyodkor — Super League 2026

Andijan
Andijan
Preview
16:00
Bunyodkor
Bunyodkor
11/27/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 29Bobur Arena
Big match
37%
Andijan
model favours
37%27%37%

Bunyodkor have won 7 of the last 10 meetings

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
53%
under 2.5 goals
52%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 86+ matches

Andijan37%
×Draw27%
Bunyodkor37%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Andijan
1.27
Bunyodkor
1.27

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 86 home / 96 away

creates per match

Andijan
1.19
Bunyodkor
1.29

allows per match

Andijan
1.26
Bunyodkor
1.36

finishing

Andijan+0.00on par
Bunyodkor+0.00on par

Total goals

Under: 53Over: 4753%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 52No: 4852%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Andijan ↓

Bunyodkor →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Andijan or draw
63%
Andijan or Bunyodkor
73%
Draw or Bunyodkor
63%

Winning margin

Andijan wins by 2+
16%
Bunyodkor wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Andijan 1+ goals
72%
Andijan 2+ goals
36%
Andijan 3+ goals
14%
Bunyodkor 1+ goals
72%
Bunyodkor 2+ goals
36%
Bunyodkor 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Andijan (draw refunded)
50%
Bunyodkor (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Andijan at home — creates 1.19, concedes 1.26 · 86 matches

Bunyodkor away — creates 1.29, concedes 1.36 · 96 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Andijan attack 1.19 + Bunyodkor defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.27

Bunyodkor attack 1.29 + Andijan defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Andijan scores more
37%
level
27%
Bunyodkor scores more
37%

Andijan at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Andijan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings
  • Their last 10 meetings averaged 4 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Andijan
DLDWW
Bunyodkor
LLLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Andijan face Bunyodkor (Super League)

Super League returns with Andijan hosting Bunyodkor. Match starts November 27, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Andijan host Bunyodkor at Bobur Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.