Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Al Wahda FC vs Ajman — League #301 2026

Al Wahda FC
Al Wahda FC
Preview
14:00
Ajman
Ajman
8/14/2026League #301League #301 · Round 1Al Nahyan Stadium
60%
Al Wahda FC
model favours
60%22%18%
1–0
likely score
55%
over 2.5 goals
53%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Al Wahda FC60%
×Draw22%
Ajman18%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Al Wahda FC
1.95
Ajman
0.96

Al Wahda FC creates 103% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 6 away

creates per match

Al Wahda FC
2.39
Ajman
0.83

allows per match

Al Wahda FC
1.08
Ajman
1.50

finishing

Al Wahda FC+0.00on par
Ajman+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al Wahda FC ↓

Ajman →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Al Wahda FC or draw
82%
Al Wahda FC or Ajman
78%
Draw or Ajman
40%

Winning margin

Al Wahda FC wins by 2+
36%
Ajman wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Al Wahda FC 1+ goals
86%
Al Wahda FC 2+ goals
58%
Al Wahda FC 3+ goals
31%
Ajman 1+ goals
62%
Ajman 2+ goals
25%
Ajman 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Al Wahda FC (draw refunded)
77%
Ajman (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al Wahda FC at home — creates 2.39, concedes 1.08 · 38 matches

Ajman away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al Wahda FC attack 2.39 + Ajman defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.95

Ajman attack 0.83 + Al Wahda FC defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Al Wahda FC scores more
60%
level
22%
Ajman scores more
18%

Al Wahda FC at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Al Wahda FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
FC
DLDDL
Ajman
DLLLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Al Wahda FC vs Ajman — Match Preview

Al Wahda FC face Ajman on August 14, 2026 in this League #301 fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Al Wahda FC host Ajman at Al Nahyan Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.