Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Sailiya — League #305 2026

Al-Duhail SC
Al-Duhail SC
Preview
14:15
Al-Sailiya
Al-Sailiya
8/22/2026League #305League #305 · Round 1Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium
49%
Al-Sailiya
model favours
27%24%49%

Al-Duhail SC and Al-Sailiya have never met before

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
58%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Al-Duhail SC27%
×Draw24%
Al-Sailiya49%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Al-Duhail SC
1.25
Al-Sailiya
1.75

Al-Sailiya creates 40% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 4 away

creates per match

Al-Duhail SC
2.00
Al-Sailiya
1.50

allows per match

Al-Duhail SC
2.00
Al-Sailiya
0.50

finishing

Al-Duhail SC+0.00on par
Al-Sailiya+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Al-Duhail SC ↓

Al-Sailiya →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–19%
0–28%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–33%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Al-Duhail SC or draw
51%
Al-Duhail SC or Al-Sailiya
76%
Draw or Al-Sailiya
73%

Winning margin

Al-Duhail SC wins by 2+
11%
Al-Sailiya wins by 2+
27%

Team goals

Al-Duhail SC 1+ goals
71%
Al-Duhail SC 2+ goals
36%
Al-Duhail SC 3+ goals
13%
Al-Sailiya 1+ goals
83%
Al-Sailiya 2+ goals
52%
Al-Sailiya 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

Al-Duhail SC (draw refunded)
36%
Al-Sailiya (draw refunded)
64%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Al-Duhail SC at home — creates 2.00, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

Al-Sailiya away — creates 1.50, concedes 0.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Al-Duhail SC attack 2.00 + Al-Sailiya defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 1.25

Al-Sailiya attack 1.50 + Al-Duhail SC defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Al-Duhail SC scores more
27%
level
24%
Al-Sailiya scores more
49%

Al-Sailiya at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Al-Sailiya will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
SC
DWLDL
Al-Sailiya
DWLLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Al-Duhail SC host Al-Sailiya

August 22, 2026: Al-Duhail SC take on Al-Sailiya in League #305. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Al-Duhail SC host Al-Sailiya at Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.