Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

1. Maj Ruma vs Radnički Zrenjanin — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

1. Maj Ruma
1. Maj Ruma
FT
3 – 0
Radnički Zrenjanin
Radnički Zrenjanin
8/28/2021Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 3Stadion Maj Ruma

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 72+ matches

1. Maj Ruma50%
×Draw26%
Radnički Zrenjanin25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1. Maj Ruma
1.52
Radnički Zrenjanin
0.99

1. Maj Ruma creates 54% more chances

Season form · 72 home / 87 away

creates per match

1. Maj Ruma
1.25
Radnički Zrenjanin
1.08

allows per match

1. Maj Ruma
0.90
Radnički Zrenjanin
1.78

finishing

1. Maj Ruma+0.00on par
Radnički Zrenjanin+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

1. Maj Ruma ↓

Radnički Zrenjanin →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

1. Maj Ruma or draw
75%
1. Maj Ruma or Radnički Zrenjanin
74%
Draw or Radnički Zrenjanin
50%

Winning margin

1. Maj Ruma wins by 2+
25%
Radnički Zrenjanin wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

1. Maj Ruma 1+ goals
78%
1. Maj Ruma 2+ goals
45%
1. Maj Ruma 3+ goals
20%
Radnički Zrenjanin 1+ goals
63%
Radnički Zrenjanin 2+ goals
26%
Radnički Zrenjanin 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

1. Maj Ruma (draw refunded)
67%
Radnički Zrenjanin (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

1. Maj Ruma at home — creates 1.25, concedes 0.90 · 72 matches

Radnički Zrenjanin away — creates 1.08, concedes 1.78 · 87 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

1. Maj Ruma attack 1.25 + Radnički Zrenjanin defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.52

Radnički Zrenjanin attack 1.08 + 1. Maj Ruma defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

1. Maj Ruma scores more
50%
level
26%
Radnički Zrenjanin scores more
25%

1. Maj Ruma at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "1. Maj Ruma will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: 1. Maj Ruma vs Radnički Zrenjanin

1. Maj Ruma beat Radnički Zrenjanin 3-0 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on August 28, 2021.

The match was played at Stadion Maj Ruma in Ruma.